CHANGE IS NEWS
We believe CHANGE ITSELF IS NEWS. While traditional media reports on events, we reverse the perspective: prediction changes ARE the news.
🎯 Our Approach
We track Polymarket prediction events in real-time, monitoring probability shifts across key thresholds (70% / 80% / 90%). When significant changes occur, we generate news.
📊 Event Categories
- 📅 Daily Watch - Threshold Crossings: Events crossing 70%/80%/90% thresholds today, with history tracking
- 🏆 Long-Term High-Probability Events: Stable events (70%-99% probability, excluding 100%) with TECH tag, volume ≥ 10K, end date ≥ today
📋 Selection Rules
- ✅ TECH Tag: Events must have TECH tag (extensible to other tags)
- ✅ Probability Range: 70%-99% (excluding 100% events)
- ✅ Trading Volume: ≥ 10,000 USDC
- ✅ End Date: ≥ Today (future events only)
- ✅ Event Merging: Multiple crossings of same event are merged into one card
🔮 Data Source
All data comes from the Polymarket API (gamma-api.polymarket.com). Daily Watch updates hourly, Long-Term updates daily at 17:00 (Beijing Time).
🔮 Future Vision
Starting with technology events, we plan to expand to economy, culture, and more. Our unique "change as news" perspective offers a fresh take on prediction market analysis.
⚖️ Disclaimer
This site is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. We do not encourage gambling. All data from Polymarket API.